3
Crystal Jet
4yo Filly · 9-8
Southwell · 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 24y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Warwick | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Hereford | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-11 | Huntingdon | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |