2
Masterly
5yo Gelding · 9-13
Southwell · 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 24y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Ripon | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2023-09-19 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -37.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2023 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |