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5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 62
Southwell · Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap · 1m 13y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Carlisle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 16/5 | 83% | 80% | -0.03 |
| 28/03/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |