5
Degale
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 63
Southwell · Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap · 1m 13y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 14/08/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |