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Gladiadora

5yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 65

Southwell · Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap · 1m 13y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Building up a better record on all-weather, looking better than ever when making it 2 from 2 at Southwell over C&D 9 days ago, well on top at the finish. Player up 4 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 60 · 7f15y Std 135 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 60 par28/036OR 606 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 62 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 134 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 64 par27/046OR 646 @ Yarmouth 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m3y Gd 134 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 63 par20/065OR 636 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Sta 132 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m31y GF 140 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 62 par20/076OR 625 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m142y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 61 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 61 par17/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell61st1st0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2026-07-20Windsor64th4th0
2026-07-08Kempton62nd2nd0
2026-06-20Newmarket54th3rd+1
2026-05-13Yarmouth68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0313/0520/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
08/04/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
27/04/20264th6/492%67%-0.25
13/05/20268th16/583%22%-0.61
20/06/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
08/07/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
20/07/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
18/08/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
17/09/20261st13/266%100%+0.34