Optimatum
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 62
Southwell · Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap · 1m 13y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Southwell | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 14/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |