Special Breeze
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 60
Southwell · Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap · 1m 13y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Nottingham | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 07/08/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |