Beauzon
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 69
Southwell · Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap · 7f 15y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/09/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/09/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |