Justice Court

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 72

Southwell · Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap · 7f 15y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength22%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.8

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Wolverhampton	5	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-08-17	Lingfield	5	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-01	Lingfield	5	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-12-03	Kempton	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength91%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
03/12/2025	3rd	9/2	76%	78%	+0.01
01/08/2026	2nd	9/2	76%	75%	-0.01
17/08/2026	8th	6/4	92%	22%	-0.70
15/09/2026	1st	10/1	47%	100%	+0.53