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14

Kiani King

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 67

Southwell · Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap · 7f 15y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found a bit more improvement to get off the mark here (1m) in August. However, failed to get away with his keenness when down the field back on turf at Windsor 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0345 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13317/0454 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/0545 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f212y Sft 131 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 65 par21/055OR 656 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 63 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 63 par27/076OR 635 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 63 · 1m13y Std 128 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 63 par31/085OR 635 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m31y Goo 127 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 67 par14/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor510th10th0
2026-08-31Southwell51st1st0
2026-07-27Southwell63rd4th−1
2026-05-21Haydock56th6th0
2026-05-04Kempton49th8th+1
2026-04-17Wolverhampton54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0321/0514/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20264th6/168%40%-0.28
17/04/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
04/05/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
21/05/20266th22/10%55%+0.55
27/07/20263rd9/488%83%-0.05
31/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
14/09/202610th5/174%18%-0.56