12
Newsreader
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 66
Southwell · Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap · 7f 15y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |