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11

You Will See

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 69

Southwell · Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap · 7f 15y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ulysses gelding who produced a promising first effort when second of 10 in a C&D novice in April but has run below that level on both starts since and has been handed a stiff-looking mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1285/0454 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f15y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS21/0545 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1325/065projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Thirsk56th6th0
2026-05-21Musselburgh45th4th+1
2026-04-05Southwell52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0421/055/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -22.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20262nd33/10%89%+0.89
21/05/20265th17/255%0%-0.55
05/06/20266th33/10%44%+0.44