Bright Summer
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 73
Southwell · Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap · 6f 17y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 42% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |