Mighty Vega
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 74
Southwell · Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap · 6f 17y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Lingfield | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.03 |