14

Mr Cool

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 71

Southwell · Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap · 6f 17y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Snapped a losing run at Ayr in July and added to that with narrow victory in 11-runner handicap at Redcar (6f, good) last month. Ran creditably despite not really seeming to benefit from the drop in trip when third of 6 in handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good, 2/1) 25 days ago and he holds claims again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 67 par2/064OR 676 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Hamilton 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f6y Goo 142 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 65 par25/066OR 656 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 63 · 5f182y Goo 140 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 63 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 63 par17/075OR 636 @ Ayr 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 64 · 6f Goo 140 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 143 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 68 par8/086OR 685 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 68 · 5f217y Goo 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 71 · 5f60y Goo 131 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 71 par1/095OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton53rd3rd0
2026-08-22Redcar51st1st0
2026-08-08Ayr63rd4th−1
2026-07-27Ayr61st2nd−1
2026-07-17Pontefract53rd3rd0
2026-07-09Carlisle62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/069/078/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20267th17/255%25%-0.30
18/06/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
25/06/20265th7/491%33%-0.57
09/07/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
17/07/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
27/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
08/08/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02
22/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
01/09/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29