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6

Ormolulu

6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 74

Southwell · Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap · 6f 17y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has dropped back to a workable mark and produced her best effort of the campaign when second of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 21 days ago, nearest finish. Regular slow starts mean she tends to need things to drop her way, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 21/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 82 · 7f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 82 par21/082OR 824 @ Southwell 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f16y Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 82 par3 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 82 · 7f14y Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 82 par21/093OR 824 @ Southwell 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 80 · 6f16y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 80 par25/044OR 804 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 79 · 7f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 77 par16/064OR 774 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 5f182y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 73 · 6f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 73 par5/094OR 73projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle42nd1st+1
2026-07-09Carlisle45th4th+1
2026-06-16Thirsk47th6th+1
2026-05-15York410th9th+1
2026-04-25Leicester45th4th+1
2025-11-03Southwell43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/083/1116/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/202514th18/15%24%+0.18
28/08/20256th4/179%62%-0.17
21/09/20257th14/126%25%-0.01
03/11/20253rd3/184%78%-0.06
25/04/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
15/05/202610th25/10%57%+0.57
16/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
09/07/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
05/09/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01