4
Ashuka
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |