Royal Fonz
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 55
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2024-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/11/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/12/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |