2
Scottie's Barn
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 53
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |