7

Wine Money
5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 53
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |