1
Happy Destination
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -38.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 10/11 | 95% | 33% | -0.62 |