Allbetsareoff
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 60
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |