4
Devil's Tongue
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |