8

Digital Security

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 76

Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 28/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 65 par28/09C7OR 65C7 @ Woodbine 11/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 63 parC7 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 66 par15/11C7OR 66C6 @ Charles Town 04/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 64 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Laurel Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m 121 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 69 par13/02C8OR 69C5 @ Charles Town 22/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Charles Town 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 73 par22/03C5OR 73C7 @ Woodbine 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Woodbine 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f 121 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 74 par29/05C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Woodbine?8th8th0
2026-05-02Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-03-22Charles Town?3rd0th+3
2026-02-22Charles Town?3rd0th+3
2026-02-13Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-01-04Charles Town?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/094/0122/0329/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20254th10/382%57%-0.25
11/10/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
15/11/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
04/01/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
13/02/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
22/02/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
22/03/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
02/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
29/05/20268th14/126%13%-0.14