Masterful Moment
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |