6
Sol De Verano
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |