Tiz The Power
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 11 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |