7
Good Sin
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
65%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |