6

Pet Sounds

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 90

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 78 par17/10C8OR 78C8 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Woodbine 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 78 par29/11C8OR 78C7 @ Woodbine 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 81 par23/05C7OR 81C8 @ Woodbine 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Woodbine 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 82 par10/07C8OR 82C8 @ Woodbine 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Woodbine 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 89 par4/09C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-07-31Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-06-12Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-05-23Woodbine?5th4th+1
2026-05-03Woodbine?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/103/0510/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20256th12/137%50%+0.13
08/11/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
29/11/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
03/05/20267th25/10%0%0.00
23/05/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
12/06/20267th33/10%0%0.00
10/07/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
31/07/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
04/09/20264th9/276%50%-0.26