2

My Turn Now

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 80

Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y 11916/05C7C6 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 84 par7/06C6OR 84C5 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 79 par26/07C5OR 79C7 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 par29/08C7OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-07-26Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2026-06-07Woodbine?7th6th+1
2026-05-16Woodbine?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/057/0626/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -21.7% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20263rd25/10%80%+0.80
07/06/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
26/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
29/08/20264th5/174%57%-0.17