5
Hot Gyal Mossop
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 61
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |