3
Agile Dancer
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |