7
Pin Boy
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |