1
Tiger Town
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |