5
March
2yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |