6
Downtown Ro
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |