2
Lakota Lady
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | BHA93 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 20% | -0.72 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |