5
Will Win
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 27/07/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |