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23:57 · Churchill Downs

Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav2
OR 103
9/5
So Sandy silks

Lael Stables

So Sandy

4yo Colt · 8-12

Omaha Beach - So Fancy (Tapit)

Jose Ortiz60%1/4Cherie Devaux60%
112421
8.0

Class Advantage

20/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par20/0115/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%20/01Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%24/10Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%19/07
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 3/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 102
12/1
Gun Party silks

Asmussen, Steven M And Reimer, Ken T

Gun Party

5yo Horse · 8-10

Curlin - Carina Mia (Malibu Moon)

Keith Asmussen60%0/5Steven Asmussen60%
436526
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/025/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par1/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%6/02Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%28/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%1/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%28/06
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.7%Ahead 3/4
9
5
OR 91
12/1
Urban Planner silks

David Jacobson

Urban Planner

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Street Boss - Interior Design (A.p. Indy)

Rafael Bejarano60%3/4David Jacobson60%
511813
7.0

Class Advantage

7/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0510/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par25/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%7/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.0%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 107
7/2
Malarchuk silks

Erj Racing Llc And Reddam Racing Llc

Malarchuk

5yo Horse · 8-10

Nyquist - Seize The Ring (Tiznow)

Umberto Rispoli60%0/1Michael McCarthy60%
211226
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par5/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par25/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par23/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 67%9/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%25/05Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%23/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 110
9/2
Gould's Gold silks

4 G Racing Llc, Gasaway, Lance And Magdalena Racing

Gould's Gold

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Goldencents - Goose Martini (Bernardini)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%0/5Kenneth McPeek
344232
7.0Class ↓5Going 9.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0221/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%28/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%17/04Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%28/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%11/07
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.6%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 100
20/1
Woodcourt silks

Contreras Stable, Inc And Flurry Racing Stables, Llc

Woodcourt

5yo Horse · 8-10

Ransom The Moon - Warrioress (Warrior's Reward)

Luis Saez60%Cipriano Contreras60%
331254
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

28/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0228/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par1/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%28/02Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%17/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%10/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.6%Ahead 1/4
2
8
OR 106
6/1
Publisher silks

King, Gus And Estate Of Brereton C Jones

Publisher

4yo Colt · 8-10

American Pharoah - Indian Pride (Proud Citizen)

Tyler GaffalioneSteven Asmussen60%
114548
4.0Going 10.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

15/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par15/027/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par28/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par18/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par29/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%15/02Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%28/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%29/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 113
6/1
No Bien Ni Mal silks

Duplo Ouro Stables Llc

No Bien Ni Mal

6yo Colt · 8-10

Hofburg - Una Beleza (Signal Tap)

Joel Rosario60%0/1Paulo Lobo60%
114114
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/066/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0110/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0829/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 73%6/01Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%29/04
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 1/4
4
9
OR 64
30/1
Touch Of Destiny silks

Brownwood Farm, Llc

Touch Of Destiny

5yo Colt · 8-10

Midshipman - Holanda Yo (T. H. Approval)

James Graham60%Jose Aranha80%
111896
4.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

2/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/022/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%2/02Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%10/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 1/4