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15:32 · Fontwell

betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m 1f 210yGoodClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 107
2/1
Yes Day silks

Mr Ian Bullions

Yes Day

8yo Gelding · 12-0

Court Cave - Jiggle Joules (Rudimentary)

Jonjo O'Neill Jr.60%1/14J & A O'Neill60%
8P2324
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Proving more consistent than usual but extended his losing run to 13 all the same when fourth at Worcester a month ago, already held when making a mistake 2 out. Eases in grade here so he really should be a factor.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0326/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par30/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%7/03Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%30/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%18/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%19/08
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 103
5/1
Balkardy silks

Mr W J Evans

Balkardy

9yo Gelding · 11-10

Balko - Kalimnos (Limnos)

Miss Eleanor Williams0/4−7lbMrs C Williams70%
6PU7P2
5.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Completely lost his form after winning over hurdles at Ffos Las in June 2025 but refitting of headgear back over fences helped him stop the slide when runner-up at Newton Abbot in July (3¼m). Was flattered by proximity to the winner on that occasion and profile isn't convincing.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/045/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par30/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par16/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%17/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%30/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%6/06Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.1%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 81
1/1
Flashy Boy silks

Price & Mathias Partners

Flashy Boy

9yo Gelding · 10-2

Sageburg - Shining Lights (Moscow Society)

Charlie Price60%1/3R L Llewellyn
P45312
7.0
Tongue strap

Confirmed the promise of his Stratford run when off the mark under Rules at Newton Abbot in August. Should probably have followed up back there on Friday, held back by a couple of significant errors and he remains one to be very positive about at this level.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/057/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%12/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%19/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.7%Ahead 1/4
2
2
OR 106
11/1
Ballynaheer silks

Mr David Purvis

Ballynaheer

7yo Gelding · 11-13

Mahler - Ballynagall (Accordion)

Rian Corcoran60%0/1−5lbDavid Dennis80%
114155
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Quickly resumed winning ways at Market Rasen (3m) in April but that was a decidedly weak affair and he's failed to beat a rival both starts later in the spring. Had a breathing operation ahead of return but assessor looks to have him (runner-up from 14 lb lower in this race a year ago).

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par4/1117/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par18/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par24/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par30/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%4/11Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%18/03Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 5 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 0%24/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%30/05
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -42.6%Ahead 1/4