14:24 · Perth

Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 7f 180yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 108
9/2
Inis Oirr silks

Mr Gerry McGladery

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Ocovango - Peace Time Beauty (Saddlers' Hall)

Gregor Walkingshaw1/3−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
591223
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Thorough stayer who won over C&D in April and followed up with back-to-back runner-up efforts here. Shaped as if still in some sort of form when a distant third in a 7-runner handicap chase over C&D but others preferred for the win (often takes plenty of persuading).

Class Advantage

15/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/0222/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par12/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%15/02Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%7/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%12/07
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav2
OR 105
10/3
Sir Carnegie silks

Mr Mickey Bowen

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Elusive Pimpernel - Sainte Careigne (Saint Des Saints)

James Bowen60%1/2M Bowen70%
311651
8.0
Blinkers

Made it 4 wins for current yard at Hexham (3m) in June and firmly back on the up when adding to tally over C&D 17 days ago, keeping the mistakes down. 4 lb rise won't stop another bold bid.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0514/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%13/05Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%22/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.8%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 111
5/1
Sean Og silks

SJD Racing & Dianne Sayer

8yo Gelding · 12-1

Getaway - Genesta (Generous)

Sean Quinlan80%4/13Mrs Dianne Sayer60%
741414
7.0

Cartmel specialist who produced what was probably a career-best effort when registering another success in July, leading over 1f out and asserting quickly. Shade better than the result back there 3 weeks ago and runner-up effort in last year's renewal of this confirms he's effective elsewhere.

Class Advantage

16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0222/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%16/02Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.4%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 105
4/1
Another High Five silks

The Osprey Partnership

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Malinas - Give Me High Five (Dubawi)

D R Fox70%L Russell & M Scudamore60%
523225
5.0
Cheek pieces

Runner-up in an Irish point and continues to go the right way over hurdles, second at Hexham in March before an excellent effort in a deep handicap at Punchestown (19f) the following month fitted with cheekpieces. 3m will suit so he's a fascinating chase debutant.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/1014/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par28/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%6/10Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%29/12Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%25/03Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%28/04
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.2%Ahead 4/4
2
3
OR 110
10/1
Wasdell Dundalk silks

Abbadis Racing & D A Harrison Racing

11yo Gelding · 12-0

Spirit One - Linda Queen (Linda's Lad)

Danny McMenamin70%5/19Miss L Harrison70%
4642P4
6.0
Cheek pieces

Four-time C&D winner was collared only close home in a 6-runner handicap chase over a shorter trip here in July. Not as reliable as he once was in his advancing years, 28½ lengths last of 4 to Sir Carnegie in handicap chase at this C&D 17 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/0924/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%8/09Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%14/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%2/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 105
10/1
Upfordebate silks

Mr Eamon McElligott

7yo Gelding · 11-9

Mount Nelson - Mrs Peachey (Brian Boru)

B S Hughes60%4/7P Neville80%
115538
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has thrived since going chasing, winning 4 times at up to 3¼m last year (including this race). Ran up to best when third of 12 in handicap chase at Carlisle and looked ready for a break here a month later. Returns with yard among the winners.

Class Advantage

13/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par13/115/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par16/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par10/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par22/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/04projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%13/11Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%16/02Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 82%22/03Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%24/04
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.0%Ahead 1/4
4
7
OR 105
7/1
Juke Hill silks

Elaine Maguire

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Jukebox Jury - Sleepless Eye (Supreme Leader)

S Bowen80%G Elliott60%
578474
3.0
Blinkers

Point runner-up who shaped as if he'd be a better chaser than hurdler when fourth of 14 in beginners chase at Wexford (19f, good to soft) in June. Not in the same form both starts since but yard's runners given maximum respect here.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0129/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par7/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 73%15/01Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 42%7/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%13/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%7/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.5%Ahead 2/4
8
9
OR 100
25/1
Midnight Moonshine silks

Mr R Michael Smith

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Soldier Of Fortune - Miss Palm (Great Palm)

Ben Smith60%0/1−7lbR M Smith60%
090565
2.0
Cheek pieces

Out of sorts for William Harvey but did offer a tad more encouragement when fifth of 8 starting out for a new yard over hurdles here 17 days ago, left poorly placed given how the race unfolded. Task is to build on that returned to chasing with cheekpieces reapplied.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0530/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par4/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par22/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par4/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 18%7/05Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%4/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%4/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%7/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.2%Ahead 4/4
9
8
OR 78
14/1
Judicial Review silks

Racing In Furness

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Getaway - Chartani (King's Theatre)

Leah Noreci60%0/4−7lbJames Moffatt80%
7P2570
3.0
Cheek pieces

Patchy form over fences at Cartmel this summer and he's 6 lb out of the weights here. Engaged 5.07 here Wednesday.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/0526/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%23/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%18/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%29/08Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%23/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 1/4