17:15 · Newcastle

Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6fGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
11
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 80
11/4
Asheyra silks

ARM Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dark Angel - Punita Arora (Sepoy)

J Mitchell60%0/1R Varian60%
32
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Hood

Dark Angel filly who was still green with a hood added but improved nevertheless when second of 4 in a class 2 Ascot maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. A stronger pace would have helped then and she sets a good standard here with potential for better still.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/085/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%5/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 1/2
7
5
9/2
Knightbolt silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

2yo Colt · 9-7

Kodiac - Hana Sakura (Shamardal)

Shane Gray60%0/1K A Ryan
4
5.0

165,000 gns yearling, Kodiac colt. 12/1, shaped as if needing the run when fourth of 11 in a maiden at Thirsk (6f) 7 weeks ago. May need more time on that evidence.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%14/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.2%Ahead 1/1
8
4
4/1
Princeland silks

Rabbah Racing

2yo Colt · 9-7

Havana Grey - Tilly Frankl (Frankel)

R Havlin60%S & E Crisford60%
4
4.0
1st Hood +1

320,000 gns yearling, Havana Grey colt. Ran to only a modest level when fourth of 5 in a Pontefract novice (6f) on debut 7 weeks ago. Hood quickly reached for and surprise were he not capable of better given stable he represents.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%16/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -53.9%Ahead 0/1
5
6
5/1
High Threshold silks

Victorious Forever

2yo Colt · 9-7

Mehmas - Red Sunshine (Wootton Bassett)

D Tudhope60%A Watson
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled February 14. 150,000 gns foal, 260,000 gns yearling, Mehmas colt. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 2-y-o 1m winner Sea Prose. Appeals on paper for stable who is 6-30 with 2-y-o newcomers this season at time of writing. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 1273% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength74%
13
2
OR 70
5/1
Mollisha silks

Nick Bradley Racing 17 and Partner

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sands Of Mali - Catadalya (One Cool Cat)

Joanna Mason0/1B Ellison
34
6.0

Produced a promising debut effort when third in a C&D novice and whilst she failed to justify support when fourth at Chester (6f, heavy) next time, the contrasting conditions offered some mitigation. Worthy of another chance back on all-weather.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0719/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 85%25/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%19/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.9%Ahead 1/2
10
3
50/1
Val De Grey silks

Mrs Pip Waugh

2yo Colt · 9-7

Havana Grey - Favourite Child (Mattmu)

Connor Beasley60%S Waugh
No form3.0

Foaled February 3. 110,000 gns yearling, 130,000 gns 2-y-o, Havana Grey colt. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Likely best watched on debut unless betting vibes suggest otherwise.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 1255% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
2
9
14/1
Big Tribe silks

RP Racing Ltd

2yo Colt · 9-7

Sioux Nation - Roseau City (Cityscape)

Jason Hart60%M Appleby
No form3.0

Foaled April 18. 220,000 gns yearling, Sioux Nation colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 6f winner Nandita and winner up to 9.4f Pockett Rockett. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. Yard has yet to strike with a 2-y-o newcomer this season but he commands a close look in the betting nevertheless.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 1245% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength26%
9
7
50/1
Spruce silks

Mr Grant Tuer

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Advertise - Heartstring (Slade Power)

Oliver StammersGrant Tuer
6
2.0

Advertise half-brother to 5f winner Dothan. Dam, sprint maiden, closely related to smart 5f winner Dutch Masterpiece. Green and always behind in maiden at Salisbury for Martyn Meade in June. Absent/gelded since and rates best watched.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/06
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%30/06
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.6%Ahead 1/1
6
8
10/1
Hunstanton silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Puccin

2yo Colt · 9-7

Night Of Thunder - Pink Pearl (Shamardal)

Jack Callan60%G Boughey
9
2.0Going 8.0

Cost 6 figures at the breeze-ups but he isn't bred for sprinting and finished well held when ninth of 11 in a Southwell novice (6f) on debut 8 days ago. In excellent hands but passed over for the time being

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%24/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -58.9%Ahead 0/1
4
12
66/1
Five Star George silks

George Lodge Ltd & Julie Camacho

2yo Colt · 9-7

Tosen Stardom - Miami Breeze (Born To Sea)

Ryan Sexton0/1Miss J A Camacho
08
2.0

Sent off at long odds and well held in pair of maiden/novice events at up to 7f to date.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0817/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%14/08Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 30%17/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 2/2
3
11
25/1
Espresso Breeze silks

The Smart Sweetlove Syndicate

2yo Colt · 9-7

Caturra - Poppets Sweetlove (Foxhound)

P Mulrennan60%0/1B Smart
7
2.0

Caturra colt who was held back by inexperience but showed a bit by the end when seventh of 13 in a maiden at Beverley (5f) 16 days ago, plenty to do 1f out but keeping on final 100 yds. Likely improver with the step up to 6f fully expected to suit.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%16/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 1/1
1
10
66/1
Aughavannon silks

Mr Anthony Fenlon

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Inns Of Court - Glitter Bay (Churchill)

Harry RussellS Waugh
80
2.0

Inns of Court gelding who has run to only a poor level in 2 starts to date. Low-grade nurseries promise to be more his bag after this.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0816/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 30%27/08Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.0%Ahead 1/2