IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. thistledown
  3. race-1

16:20 · Thistledown

Race 1 - Claiming

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 89
9/5
Liberate silks

America's Thoroughbred Investors

Liberate

9yo Gelding · 8-7

Gemologist - Southern Silence (Dixie Union)

Rocco Bowen60%4/11Timothy Hamm60%
271633
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0713/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%10/07Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%19/12Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 71%24/08Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.0%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 72
6/1
Zakaria silks

SUSAN YODER

Zakaria

8yo Gelding · 8-7

Professor Fate - Miss Posse (Posse)

Chelsey Keiser60%Susan Yoder60%
354243
6.0

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0623/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%3/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%14/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%19/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 85
3/1
Specialized silks

Mast Thoroughbreds LLC

Specialized

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Midshipman - Love Spun (Hard Spun)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%2/4Robert Gorham70%
126158
4.0Class ↓3Going 9.0

Class Advantage

9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/074/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par13/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%13/11Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%29/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -44.7%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 78
8/1
Swing State silks

Joyita Racing Stable Llc

Swing State

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Super Saver - South Bay Cove (Fusaichi Pegasus)

Jason Simpson60%Ricardo Gonzalez
736465
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par21/1029/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par5/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/01 · mark par21/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par12/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par6/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/03projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%21/10Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%5/01Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 29%12/02Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 20%6/03
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.8%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 74
5/1
Condemnation silks

Michael Vales

Condemnation

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Speightster - Southern Silence (Dixie Union)

Victor Fernandez60%0/2Julie Pappada
245332
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/059/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%25/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%28/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%2/09Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%22/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.3%Ahead 0/4
6
3
OR 73
12/1
Fact Not Fiction silks

Danielle Agnello

Fact Not Fiction

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Yoshida - Mother Nature (Winslow Homer)

Jefferson Skerrett60%0/2−5lbJeffrey Skerrett60%
816557
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/1030/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par13/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%10/10Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 20%26/08Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -48.0%Ahead 1/4
9
6
OR 61
20/1
Workstation silks

Todd Jr , Donald, Calypso Stable And Dacosta, Jason

Workstation

3yo Gelding · 8-5

Cloud Computing - Jumpin Jett (Yes It's True)

Jerome Innis60%1/2Jason Dacosta60%
634516
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0515/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%11/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%6/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 1/4
8
7
OR 65
10/1
Biscuits And Grits silks

Richard Zielinski

Biscuits And Grits

8yo Gelding · 8-7

Country Day - Broadway Annierose (Stalwart)

David Haldar0/10Richard Zielinski
544336
5.0

Class Advantage

20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1118/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par16/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%20/11Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%3/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%23/07Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -35.8%Ahead 0/4
5
9
OR 53
20/1
Powerful Phil silks

Jerry Laria

Powerful Phil

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Global Power - Be Mind Phil (Philanthropist)

Deshawn Parker60%Gary Johnson60%
765777
3.0

Class Advantage

6/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/01 · mark par6/019/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/02 · mark par6/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par27/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par20/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%6/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%6/03Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%20/04Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%11/05
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 2/4