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21:00 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
4
OR 95
4/1
Stay For The Boom silks

Ryan Ritt

Stay For The Boom

3yo Colt · 8-8

Stay Thirsty - Boomchicaboom (Lucky Pulpit)

Luis Saez60%Christophe Davis60%
261271
6.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

3/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/0524/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par7/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%3/05Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%7/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%9/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.2%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 91
2/1
Alston silks

C R K Stable Llc

Alston

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Into Mischief - Dontwasteurpretty (Unbridled's Song)

Jose Ortiz60%P Eurton60%
153816
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/1115/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par7/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/11Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%15/04Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%7/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.3%Ahead 2/4
9
Top Pick1
OR 75
15/1
Jinxzi silks

That's Amore Stable And Dare To Dream Stables, Llc (eric Foster)

Jinxzi

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Thousand Words - Boot Scoot N Run (Storm Boot)

Victor Carrasco2/3Ian Wilkes60%
360141
8.0

Class Advantage

8/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par8/015/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par21/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par30/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%8/01Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 40%5/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 100
3/1
Baddest Good Boy silks

Lieblong, Alex And Lieblong, Joann

Baddest Good Boy

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Bernardini - Shrilanka (Pleasantly Perfect)

Francisco Arrieta60%0/3David Fawkes60%
334487
4.0

Class Advantage

19/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par19/039/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par2/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%19/03Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%2/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%26/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%26/07
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
4
Value2
OR 88
8/1
Guardian silks

Scates, Hugh D And Dant, John

Guardian

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Constitution - Two Sixty (Uncaptured)

Tyler GaffalioneEric Foster
431554
6.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/028/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%25/04Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 43%10/06Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%5/07
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.7%Ahead 0/4
2
6
OR 87
20/1
One Mor Story silks

Workman Ranch

One Mor Story

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Mor Spirit - Feline Delite (Mineshaft)

Adam Beschizza0/1Lon Wiggins60%
521752
5.0

Class Advantage

13/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/0931/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par1/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par13/01 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par8/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%13/09Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 91%1/01Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%8/03Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%10/07
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.9%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 89
30/1
Mr Randy silks

Bryan Minnich

Mr Randy

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Gormley - Quiet River (Data Link)

Luan Machado60%Tim Girten60%
757414
6.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/0226/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par17/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par8/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par16/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%28/02Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%17/04Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%16/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 2/4
1
10
OR 89
8/1
Gallo De Fuego silks

Pelzel, Gregory Alan And Milligan, Caleb

Gallo De Fuego

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Audible - Spelling Again (Awesome Again)

Gabriel Saez0/3Cameron Milligan
133248
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par15/026/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%15/02Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%8/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%5/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.1%Ahead 1/4
6
9
OR 80
10/1
Aerate silks

Bob Wheatley

Aerate

4yo Colt · 8-10

Candy Ride - Ducru (Broken Vow)

Edgar Morales60%Kinnon Larose
465125
5.0

Class Advantage

8/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/0326/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par10/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%8/03Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%10/04Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%31/05
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.1%Ahead 2/4
3
8
OR 89
20/1
Lebombo silks

Steven Asmussen

Lebombo

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Cupid - Daring Greatly (Even The Score)

Keith Asmussen60%0/1Steven Asmussen
415168
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par24/0115/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par7/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par21/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par1/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%24/01Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%7/03Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%4/04Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%1/05
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 1/4