12:55 · Ayr

Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed)

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 109
6/1
Ecureuil Secret silks

Mr Aidan J Ryan

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Vitizza (King's Best)

O J Orr1/4R A Fahey60%
323103
6.0Going 9.0Class ↓0

Progressive on going softer than good in Ireland at 3 and took it up another notch for new yard with impressive win in handicap at last year's Epsom Derby meeting (good to soft). Not disgraced on faster ground in 2 subsequent outings last summer. This is a belated return but has good record fresh.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0631/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par21/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par6/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par17/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%29/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%21/10Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%17/06Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%26/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.7%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 107
8/1
Grey Cuban silks

Roudee Racing 10

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Havana Grey - Serena Grae (Arakan)

Saffie Osborne70%H Palmer60%
031302
6.0Going 8.0
Hood

Smart performer who placed at listed level at Chester for a second time when runner-up on 1½m reappearance last weekend. A second outing in quick succession after a long absence is the obvious concern.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/0813/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par11/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par25/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par8/11 · C2 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par12/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%30/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 16 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%8/11Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.3%Ahead 4/4
2
Value2
OR 101
12/1
El Burhan silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-5

New Bay - Sar Oiche (Teofilo)

Jack Callan60%0/1G Boughey80%
915438
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Has won all 3 times he's raced on ground softer than good, including a C&D handicap at this meeting last year. Below par on good ground in last month's Lanark Silver Bell at Hamilton but better expected back under his favoured conditions. Has first-time blinkers added to his tongue tie.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/0818/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par6/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%30/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%28/03Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%6/08Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 42%21/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav5
OR 110
5/2
Ice Max silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Dark Angel - Cool Kitten (One Cool Cat)

S H James70%0/4K R Burke60%
115364
5.0Class ↓1Going 8.0

Listed winner in the mud last autumn. Showed he retains his ability in 4 outings in the first half of the year and might have been waiting for this sort of ground since. Bang there on form.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0910/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par29/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par8/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par22/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par5/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%6/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/10Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%22/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%5/06
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.9%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 105
9/2
High Stock silks

Sheikh Hamed Dalmook Al Maktoum

4yo Colt · 9-5

Dubawi - Proserpine (Hat Trick)

Oisin Murphy70%0/2A M Balding80%
204475
3.0Class ↓0

Rapidly developed into a smart performer as a 3-y-o. Returned with a couple of respectable efforts in the spring and enters calculations back from 4 months off for last year's winning stable.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a8/0519/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par24/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par3/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par8/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par22/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%24/09Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%8/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%22/05
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 107
9/2
Fast Tracker silks

Wathnan Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Churchill - Emma Knows (Anabaa)

James Doyle80%0/1E Walker
105173
5.0Class ↓1

Smart in France in 2024, winning 4 times on soft/heavy. Showed he retains most of that ability at the second time of asking for new yard since returning from a long absence when 5¾ lengths third to Zavateri in Celebration Mile at Goodwood (soft) 3 weeks ago. Claims if he can build on that.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a2/052/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a5/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 13 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 13 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%8/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%5/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%29/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.1%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 108
5/1
Sea Scout silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Sea The Stars - Wo De Xin (Shamardal)

Tom Marquand70%S & E Crisford
643325
5.0Class ↓1

40/1-winner of listed Blue Riband Trial at Epsom last April. Has drawn a blank since but has posted some smart performances, including second of 4 in Haydock Group 3 on reappearance in August. Respectable fifth in 11.5f Windsor listed race since.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/0617/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par12/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par25/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par8/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par29/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 55%19/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%12/09Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%8/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%29/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 3/4