12:39 · Perth

Saltire Hospitality EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 4f 35yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 102
9/2
Datstheholyallofit silks

Mr Eamon McElligott

5yo Mare · 11-7

Snow Sky - Have You Time (Gamut)

B S Hughes60%1/4P Neville60%
441231
8.0Going 8.0

Progressed to get off the mark in bumpers at Kelso in May. Suited by longer trip/had plenty to spare when making it third time lucky over hurdles at Sedgefield (21f) latest. Still very much unexposed in the face of better opposition here.

Class Advantage

10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/031/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%10/03Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%6/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 71%28/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.3%Ahead 3/4
3
4
3/1
Kingside Lady silks

Mr D Kierans

4yo Filly · 11-4

Kingston Hill - Haarth Of Gold (Alhaarth)

Alex Harvey60%1/1−3lbJ C McConnell60%
101
7.0

Point winner who failed to justify expectations on bumper debut in July. Conversely easy to back when proving a different proposition on hurdling bow at Wexford (17f) subsequently, always holding on for 2-length success. Open to improvement up in trip (likely to stay) and needs considering.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/078/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 13 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 1/2
4
Market Fav2
OR 104
9/4
Biglesisback silks

The Crick Girls

6yo Mare · 11-0

Walk In The Park - Asturienne (Sleeping Car)

D R Fox70%0/4L Russell & M Scudamore
3222P3
7.0Going 9.0Class ↓1

Well-related mare who finished third on hurdling debut in this corresponding race last year. Advanced her form with a hat-trick of seconds subsequently and may well benefit from return to more positive tactics following her latest third at Wetherby in March. Thereabouts on the pick of her efforts.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/0525/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/12 · mark par1/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par17/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par17/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 58%3/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 92%7/11Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%1/01Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%17/03
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.0%Ahead 0/4
2
3
OR 108
5/2
Poetic Twist silks

Mr M J Hanrahan

5yo Mare · 11-7

Poet's Word - Phoenix Twist (Kalanisi)

S Bowen80%0/1G Elliott
222126
4.0Going 8.0

Knocking on the door behind fairly useful types before going one better at Tramore in May. Below that form in a couple of stronger events outside of maiden company since, however, she's been found a good opportunity by her excellent Irish yard (successful with both runners here earlier this month).

Class Advantage

10/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/025/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par9/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%10/02Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 93%11/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%15/06Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%9/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 3/4
5
5
12/1
Sky Blue Ribbon silks

Mr J Winfield

5yo Mare · 11-0

Vadamos - Ashgrove (Spadoun)

Jack Tudor60%N P Mulholland
FF2P4
4.0

Runner-up completed start in Irish points. Ridden positively when beaten 11¾ lengths on debut in a Fontwell bumper in late-May (2¼m, 11/2), finding less than looked likely in a hood. In capable hands and no surprise to see her last longer on hurdles bow.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/05
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%24/05
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -31.1%Ahead 0/1