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17:50 · Thistledown

Race 3 - Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
OR 66
8/5
Tipsy Tulip silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

Tipsy Tulip

3yo Filly · 8-3

Corfu - Ritzy Rose (Hat Trick)

Chelsey Keiser60%3/3Nestor Rivera60%
111
9.0

Class Advantage

23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a23/075/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/0815/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 3/3
1
Top Pick1
OR 77
5/1
Kingdom Trails silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

Kingdom Trails

4yo Filly · 8-7

Preservationist - Trout River Red (Indian Charlie)

Jose Bracho60%Nestor Rivera60%
555232
6.0Going 7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

30/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/037/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%30/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%30/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%25/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.4%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 72
7/2
Coloryoureggs silks

Nana's Nest And Cline, Robert C

Coloryoureggs

4yo Filly · 8-7

Birdrun - Media Rules (Mass Media)

Victor Fernandez60%4/12Robert Cline60%
203424
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par13/1013/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 86%13/10Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%1/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%29/07Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 57%25/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 53
2/1
Exponentially silks

Fraser, James A And Jane N

Exponentially

5yo Mare · 8-11

The Factor - Adjulate (Flatter)

Erik Barbaran60%Michael Maker
423211
5.0

Class Advantage

6/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/112/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par18/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/03 · mark par22/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%6/11Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%2/03Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 57%18/03Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%22/04Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%28/05
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 0/4
5
4
OR 66
6/1
Lil Sharpie silks

Raymond Donald

Lil Sharpie

3yo Filly · 8-3

Jac's Fact - Karma's Comin (Include)

David Haldar2/10Ivan Vazquez
493733
4.0

Class Advantage

16/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par16/038/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par20/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%16/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%20/04Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%5/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%15/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 3/4