4
Far Bridge
6yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 117
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/11/2024 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 29% | -0.66 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |