IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. belmont-park
  3. race-11

21:54 · Belmont Park

Race 11 - Flower Bowl Stakes - Grade 2

1m 2f3YO plusDIRT11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 107
8/5
Kathynmarissa silks

Caruso, Michael J And Dubb, Michael

Kathynmarissa

5yo Mare · 9-0

American Pharoah - La Dalila (Milt's Overture)

Jose Ortiz60%3/4Chad Brown
251131
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/12 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par27/1215/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par5/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%27/12Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%5/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.8%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 105
12/1
Esna silks

Hughes, Martin

Esna

3yo Filly · 8-10

Starman - Dubai (Galileo)

J P Spencer60%B J Meehan
441022
6.0

Class Advantage

5/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/103/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par16/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par14/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par25/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par15/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%5/10Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%25/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.5%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 112
6/1
Sunlit Uplands silks

Flynn, Rachel And Guest, Rae

Sunlit Uplands

4yo Filly · 9-0

Sands Of Mali - Illico (Dansili)

James Doyle80%Stuart Williams
764412
5.0

Class Advantage

12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/093/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par29/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par20/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par9/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%29/10Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%9/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
1
Value2
OR 104
12/1
Fionn silks

Messina, George And Lee, Michael

Fionn

4yo Filly · 9-0

Twirling Candy - Gaelic Gold (Giant's Causeway)

Manuel Franco70%B Cox80%
114165
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/0710/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par11/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par15/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par24/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%11/10Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 38%24/01Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 0%13/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -43.1%Ahead 1/4
5
6
OR 104
12/1
Storm Miami silks

Egl-one Racing

Storm Miami

5yo Mare · 9-0

Blue Point - Cosmic Love (Sea The Stars)

John Velazquez0/2Amelia Green
542D22
6.0

Class Advantage

1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par1/0318/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par2/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par28/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%1/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%1/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%2/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%28/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.0%Ahead 2/4
10
4
OR 104
6/1
Gezora silks

Peter Brant

Gezora

4yo Filly · 9-0

Almanzor - Germance (Silver Hawk)

Junior Alvarado60%0/1William Mott
201286
4.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

7/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/095/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par5/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par2/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%7/09Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 86%Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 38%2/08
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.1%Ahead 1/4
11
7
OR 115
9/2
Cathedral silks

Amo Racing Usa Llc

Cathedral

4yo Filly · 9-0

Too Darn Hot - War And Peace (Frankel)

Flavien Prat60%Chad Brown
543274
4.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/102/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par3/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par17/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%4/10Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%28/03Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%17/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 1/4
7
10
OR 97
12/1
Evershed silks

Mark Grier

Evershed

4yo Filly · 9-0

Churchill - Balankiya (Darshaan)

Dylan Davis0/2Arnaud Delacour
122831
5.0

Class Advantage

9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/079/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par6/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par15/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par28/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 86%6/09Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%19/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 1/4
9
8
OR 96
20/1
Silvology silks

Stuart Janney III

Silvology

5yo Mare · 9-0

Blame - Silviculture (Forestry)

A Fresu60%III Claude McGaughey
123516
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par13/0229/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par28/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%28/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.5%Ahead 1/4
3
9
OR 102
20/1
Favorite Memory silks

John Gunther

Favorite Memory

4yo Filly · 9-0

Frankel - Smart Change (Smart Strike)

Kendrick CarmoucheCherie Devaux
919369
3.0

Class Advantage

19/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/0714/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par26/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par20/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par2/08 · C0 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 11%19/07Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%26/09Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%30/05Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%2/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.3%Ahead 0/4
6
11
OR 92
30/1
Opulent Restraint silks

Seymour Brant, Stephanie

Opulent Restraint

4yo Filly · 9-0

Dubawi - Significant Form (Creative Cause)

Javier CastellanoWilliam Mott
333654
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/079/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par11/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%5/07Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%11/10Pos 6 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 6 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%9/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%13/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.3%Ahead 1/4