7
Program Trading
6yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 119
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 4f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 01/11/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 64% | -0.31 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |